Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?: result and scorecard
Resolved 3.0-3.5%. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 53.6%; a week before, 42.1%. $82K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
GDPmacroMexicoEconomyMacro Indicators
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| 3.0-3.5% | WON |
| 2.0-2.5% | LOST |
| 1.5-2.0% | LOST |
| 2.5-3.0% | LOST |
| 3.5%+ | LOST |
| 1.0-1.5% | LOST |
| <0.5% | LOST |
| 0.5-1.0% | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?" resolve?
- It resolved 3.0-3.5% around October 30, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 53.6% one day before close, 42.1% one week before and 11.6% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $82K across 8 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.