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Live market data

Nayarit Governor Election Winner: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez at 78.8%, ahead of Candidate B at 50.0%. $38K traded across 48 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

78.8%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez · Trade →

24h move

-1.8
pts · 7d +5.0

Volume

$38K
24h $50 · liquidity $190K

Closes

June 7, 2027
213 days left

MexicoPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionGlobal Elections

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez78.8% -1.8+5.0$4K3.8¢
Candidate B50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate C50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate D50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate E50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate F50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate G50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate H50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate I50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate J50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate K50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate L50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate M50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate N50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate O50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate P50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate Q50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate R50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate S50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate T50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate U50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate V50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate W50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate X50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate Y50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate Z50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Other50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Luis Zamora Carrillo8.8% +0.4+0.4$1K16.6¢
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu6.4% +0.2+1.4$96310.8¢
Citlalli Rubí Huerta6.2% +0.5+2.9$7849.2¢
Manuel Cota Jiménez4.8% 0.0+0.8$6119.4¢
Geraldine Ponce Méndez4.1% -0.7+0.2$10K6.4¢
Pavel Jarero Velázquez4.0% +0.1-5.2$6806.0¢
Héctor Santana García3.8% +0.1-4.0$2K6.4¢
Ivonne Sabrina Díaz1.1% 0.0-1.1$5261.6¢
Gloria Núñez Sánchez0.6% 0.0-0.1$5360.8¢
Julieta Mejía Ibáñez0.4% 0.00.0$5620.5¢
Gustavo Ayón Aguirre0.4% 0.0-0.3$6540.1¢
Jesús Armando Vélez Macías0.4% 0.00.0$7110.3¢
Ivideliza Reyes Hernández0.3% 0.00.0$5780.3¢
José Ramón Cambero Pérez0.3% 0.00.0$4440.3¢
Nadia Ramírez López0.3% 0.00.0$4520.3¢
Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez0.2% 0.00.0$3K0.2¢
José Antonio Barajas López0.2% 0.0-0.1$5440.2¢
Paola Vargas Arciniega0.2% 0.0-0.1$4240.2¢
María Elizabeth López Blanco0.1% 0.00.0$4390.1¢
Ignacio Flores Medina0.1% 0.00.0$4570.1¢
Enrique Díaz López0.1% 0.0-0.1$4160.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%08-0509-2011-06
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez

Market rules and resolution

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez at 79% risks 79¢ to win 21¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Nayarit Governor Election Winner"?
As of November 6, 2026, Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez is the favorite at 78.8%, followed by Candidate B at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on June 7, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$38K in total and $50 in the last 24 hours, with about $190K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.