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Home / Markets / Nuevo León Governor Election Winner
Live market data

Nuevo León Governor Election Winner: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Candidate A at 50.0%, ahead of Candidate B at 50.0%. $65K traded across 48 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

50.0%
Candidate A · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$65K
24h $150 · liquidity $67K

Closes

June 7, 2027
213 days left

MexicoPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionGlobal Elections

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Candidate A50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate B50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate C50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate D50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate E50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate F50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate G50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate H50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate I50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate J50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate K50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate L50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate M50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate N50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate O50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate P50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate Q50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate R50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate S50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate T50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate U50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate V50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate W50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate X50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate Y50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate Z50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Other50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Adrián de la Garza Santos37.0% +2.50.0$14K14.0¢
Clara Luz Flores Carrales21.1% +1.3-0.4$6K19.5¢
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú20.9% +3.0-1.0$19K12.8¢
Raúl Lozano Caballero7.0% +0.3+1.1$53211.7¢
Judith Díaz Delgado6.5% +0.4+0.1$1K10.6¢
Fernando Margáin Berlanga6.4% 0.0+2.7$58811.4¢
Félix Arratia Cruz6.2% -0.1+0.8$54810.9¢
Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla5.3% +0.1-0.4$8008.5¢
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas4.9% 0.0-1.8$4K8.8¢
Jesús Alberto Elizondo4.8% +0.2-0.7$5887.7¢
Carlos de la Fuente Flores4.5% -0.3-3.3$4608.3¢
Miguel Flores Serna4.2% -0.1+0.3$7666.6¢
Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo4.0% 0.0+0.7$4K7.1¢
Andrés Mijes Llovera3.6% 0.0-2.2$2K6.0¢
Waldo Fernández González3.5% 0.0-0.4$1K5.9¢
Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez2.9% 0.0-0.5$6725.2¢
Arturo Salinas Garza2.3% 0.0+1.8$9274.2¢
Martha Herrera González2.1% 0.0+0.1$7823.3¢
Héctor García García0.5% 0.00.0$1K0.6¢
Daniel Carrillo Martínez0.3% 0.0-0.1$5K0.3¢
Annia Gómez Cárdenas0.1% 0.00.0$4280.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

Not enough price history yet for a chart.

Market rules and resolution

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Candidate A at 50% risks 50¢ to win 50¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Nuevo León Governor Election Winner"?
As of November 6, 2026, Candidate A is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by Candidate B at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on June 7, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$65K in total and $150 in the last 24 hours, with about $67K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.