Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Antonio Martín del Campo at 54.5%, ahead of Candidate A at 50.0%. $59K traded across 42 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
MexicoPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionGlobal Elections
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Antonio Martín del Campo | 54.5% | 0.0 |
| Candidate A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate B | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate C | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate D | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate E | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate F | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate G | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate H | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate I | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate J | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate K | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate L | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate M | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate N | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate O | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate P | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate Q | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate R | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate S | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate T | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate U | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate V | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate W | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate X | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate Y | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate Z | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Leonardo Montañez Castro | 33.0% | 0.0 |
| Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez | 12.0% | +1.0 |
| Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Kendor Macías | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Leticia Olivares | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Arturo Ávila Anaya | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Salma Luévano Luna | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Genny Janeth López Valenzuela | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Ana Gómez Calzada | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Aldo Ruiz Sánchez | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Lorena Martínez Rodríguez | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Anayeli Muñoz Moreno | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Karla Arely Espinoza | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Antonio Martín del Campo is the favorite at 54.5%, followed by Candidate A at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on June 7, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $59K in total and $50 in the last 24 hours, with about $157K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.