What are the odds on Artificial intelligence right now?

The most traded live market is "Which company has best AI model end of 2026?", where Google is priced at 60.5% as of November 6, 2026. 38 live markets mention Artificial intelligence.

How do I bet on Artificial intelligence?

These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.

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Live market data

Artificial intelligence: live prediction market odds

Every active Polymarket market mentioning Artificial intelligence, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.

Updated 2026-11-06 01:43 UTC · Source: Polymarket search · 18+

Live markets

mentioning Artificial intelligence

Total volume

$10.4M

across live markets

Most traded

61%

Google in "Which company has best AI model end of 2026?"

Live markets about Artificial intelligence

Market	Favorite	Price	24h	Volume
Which company has best AI model end of 2026? closes December 31, 2026	Google	60.5%	0.0	$4.0M
Which company has the best AI model end of November? closes December 1, 2026	Google	72.5%	+2.0	$810K
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...? closes December 31, 2026	December 31	94.3%	+0.3	$1.4M
Next GPT Terra Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut? closes July 1, 2027	1440+	26.6%	-11.6	$72K
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut? closes July 1, 2027	1500+	93.6%	0.0	$139K
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	15.5%	-18.5	$1.7M
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	#3	15.5%	+0.5	$298K
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut? closes January 1, 2027	1495+	13.5%	+3.0	$364K
Best Chinese AI Company end of November? closes December 1, 2026	Other	50.0%	0.0	$62K
Which company has #1 AI model end of January? (Style Control On) closes February 1, 2027	Company A	50.0%	0.0	$19K
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November? closes December 1, 2026	Anthropic	77.5%	-3.0	$34K
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	63.0%	+21.5	$23K
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	17.5%	+8.5	$45K
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...? closes December 1, 2026	No release by November 30	61.5%	+2.5	$6K
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut? closes July 1, 2027	55%+	95.0%	+0.5	$46K
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of January? closes February 1, 2027	Company A	50.0%	0.0	$10K
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	16.0%	-0.5	$122K
Best Chinese AI Company end of January? closes February 1, 2027	Company A	50.0%	0.0	$5K
Dem sweep & Chinese AI model #1 by end of 2027? closes January 1, 2028	Dem sweep; China not #1	76.3%	-10.9	$16K
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	Anthropic	50.0%	+4.5	$240K
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of December? closes January 1, 2027	Anthropic	65.5%	+1.0	$10K
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	1575	19.5%	+1.0	$154K
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December? closes January 1, 2027	Anthropic	73.5%	+1.0	$11K
Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) closes January 1, 2027	Google	56.5%	+11.0	$33K
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November? closes December 1, 2026	Other	50.0%	0.0	$46K
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November? closes December 1, 2026	Anthropic	83.5%	-0.5	$8K
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	16.5%	-2.5	$46K
Best Chinese AI Company end of December? closes January 1, 2027	Company A	50.0%	0.0	$16K
Best AI model on November 16? closes November 17, 2026	gemini-4-carbon-high	88.5%	+10.5	$3K
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November? closes December 1, 2026	Anthropic	62.0%	+5.5	$23K
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	24.5%	+10.0	$9K
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December? closes January 1, 2027	Anthropic	52.5%	-1.0	$15K
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	None in 2026	43.5%	-1.5	$142K
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	6.0%	-0.5	$7K
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	↑ 1550	54.5%	+3.5	$239K
Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On) closes December 1, 2026	Google	71.0%	-2.0	$44K
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	1580	65.5%	0.0	$257K
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	1.9%	0.0	$4K

Recently resolved

Market	Result	Volume
Which company has best AI model end of July? July 31, 2026	Anthropic	$8.2M
Which company has best AI model end of June? June 30, 2026	Anthropic	$22.3M
Which company has the best AI model end of May? May 31, 2026	Anthropic	$11.9M
Which company has the best AI model end of April? April 30, 2026	Anthropic	$21.1M
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On) March 31, 2026	Google	$429K
Which company has the best AI model end of March? March 31, 2026	Anthropic	$16.2M
Which company has the best AI model end of February? February 28, 2026	Anthropic	$22.5M
Which company has the best AI model end of January? January 31, 2026	Google	$29.0M
Which company has best AI model end of 2025? December 31, 2025	Google	$36.3M
Which company has best AI model end of November? November 30, 2025	Google	$7.5M
Which company has best AI model end of October? October 31, 2025	Google	$4.7M
Which company has best AI model end of August? August 31, 2025	Google	$7.5M

About this page

Best model rankings, AGI timelines and AI releases. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the odds on Artificial intelligence right now?: The most traded live market is "Which company has best AI model end of 2026?", where Google is priced at 60.5% as of November 6, 2026. 38 live markets mention Artificial intelligence.
How do I bet on Artificial intelligence?: These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.