What are the odds on Tesla right now?

The most traded live market is "Largest Company end of December 2026?", where Apple is priced at 69.1% as of November 6, 2026. 25 live markets mention Tesla.

How do I bet on Tesla?

These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.

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Live market data

Tesla: live prediction market odds

Every active Polymarket market mentioning Tesla, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.

Updated 2026-11-06 01:43 UTC · Source: Polymarket search · 18+

Live markets

mentioning Tesla

Total volume

$12.2M

across live markets

Most traded

69%

Apple in "Largest Company end of December 2026?"

Live markets about Tesla

Market	Favorite	Price	24h	Volume
Largest Company end of December 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Apple	69.1%	+9.8	$9.8M
Largest Company end of November 2026? closes December 1, 2026	Apple	77.0%	+22.0	$83K
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Microsoft	63.5%	-7.5	$156K
3rd Largest Company end of November 2026? closes December 1, 2026	Microsoft	66.0%	-25.5	$21K
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in November 2026? closes December 1, 2026	↓ $330	76.5%	+45.0	$25K
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026? closes January 1, 2027	NVIDIA	54.0%	0.0	$98K
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of November 2 2026? closes November 6, 2026	↑ $352.50	67.5%	0.0	$9K
2nd Largest Company end of November 2026? closes December 1, 2026	NVIDIA	64.5%	+7.0	$15K
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...? closes January 1, 2028	December 31, 2027	68.5%	-2.0	$1.7M
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of November? closes November 30, 2026	$340	58.5%	-24.0	$5K
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 2 above___? closes November 6, 2026	$370	9.5%	-72.5	$4K
Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on November 6? closes November 6, 2026	$380	44.9%	0.0	$1K
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	4.0%	-7.0	$13K
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	2.3%	+0.6	$19K
Will Tesla release Optimus by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	1.6%	-0.5	$157K
How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026? closes March 1, 2027	400k to 425k	21.6%	-3.0	$16K
Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Nov 2 at ___? closes November 6, 2026	<$375	92.5%	+57.0	$275
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	23.5%	-10.5	$71K
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 6? closes November 6, 2026	Up	60.5%	0.0	$51
Tesla Roadster delivered by...? closes January 1, 2028	December 31, 2027	9.0%	0.0	$10K
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	8.0%	0.0	$33K
Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by...? closes May 1, 2027	April 30, 2027	31.0%	+0.5	$5K
Which Mag 7 Stock Has the Biggest Single-Day Move in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Apple (AAPL)	45.5%	0.0	$48
Will any state ban the flying Tesla Roadster from public roads by December 31, 2028? closes January 1, 2029	Yes	33.0%	-1.0	$35
Will any state legalize flying the Tesla Roadster by December 31, 2028? closes January 1, 2029	Yes	13.0%	0.0	$10

Recently resolved

Market	Result	Volume
How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026? December 1, 2026	475k to 500k	$170K
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? October 16, 2026	Yes	$6.8M
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? October 16, 2026	Yes	$856K
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026? June 30, 2026	475k+	$507K
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? June 30, 2026	No	$122K
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026? June 30, 2026	Yes	$117K
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? June 30, 2026	No	$117K
How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026? March 31, 2026	350k–375k	$893K
What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in February 2026? March 1, 2026	↓ $435	$239K
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of February? February 27, 2026	$360	$213K
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 2 above___? February 6, 2026	$385	$131K
Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on February 4? February 4, 2026	$400	$113K

About this page

Robotaxi, deliveries and stock markets. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the odds on Tesla right now?: The most traded live market is "Largest Company end of December 2026?", where Apple is priced at 69.1% as of November 6, 2026. 25 live markets mention Tesla.
How do I bet on Tesla?: These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.