Which company has best AI model end of August?: result and scorecard
Resolved Google. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.6%; a week before, 97.1%. $7.5M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| WON | |
| OpenAI | LOST |
| xAI | LOST |
| DeepSeek | LOST |
| Anthropic | LOST |
| Meta | LOST |
| Alibaba | LOST |
| Other | LOST |
| Company C | LOST |
| Company D | LOST |
| Company E | LOST |
| Company F | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Which company has best AI model end of August?" resolve?
- It resolved Google around August 31, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.6% one day before close, 97.1% one week before and 49.0% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $7.5M across 12 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.