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Supreme Court: live prediction market odds

Every active Polymarket market mentioning Supreme Court, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.

Updated 2026-11-06 01:43 UTC ยท Source: Polymarket search ยท 18+

Live markets

15
mentioning Supreme Court

Total volume

$6.5M
across live markets

Most traded

18%
June 30, 2027 in "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?"

Live markets about Supreme Court

MarketFavoritePrice24hVolume
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
closes July 1, 2027
June 30, 202717.5% -16.0$4.9M
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?
closes July 1, 2027
June 30, 202711.0% -14.0$22K
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
closes January 1, 2027
December 3118.5% -3.0$1.1M
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
closes January 2, 2027
Yes10.5% -14.0$35K
Supreme Court sides with Apple in Epic Games appeal?
closes August 2, 2027
Yes68.0% -16.5$4K
Supreme Court sides with Catholic preschools in Colorado funding case?
closes August 2, 2027
Yes56.0% +21.5$588
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
closes January 1, 2027
Yes3.8% +0.1$263K
Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?
closes January 1, 2027
December 3188.6% -2.7$38K
U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?
closes December 31, 2026
5โ€“15%89.5% 0.0$14K
North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner
closes November 4, 2026
Anita Earls (D)97.0% +0.1$7K
Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
closes January 20, 2029
Candidate A50.0% 0.0$7K
SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?
closes January 1, 2027
Yes4.0% +0.3$3K
Supreme Court revives Arizona's proof-of-citizenship voting rules?
closes August 2, 2027
Yes40.0% -1.0$2K
Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027?
closes January 1, 2027
Yes12.0% -2.0$1K
Supreme Court sides with Suncor and Exxon in Boulder climate case?
closes August 2, 2027
Yes55.0% -8.5$359
๐Ÿ“ฑ Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Recently resolved

MarketResultVolume
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
December 31, 2026
Yes$37K
SCOTUS rules in favor of Monsanto?
December 31, 2026
Yes$3K
Will SCOTUS let Trump build the White House ballroom by September 30?
September 30, 2026
Yes$3K
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
August 31, 2026
Yes$232K
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
August 1, 2026
No$386K
Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?
July 31, 2026
Yes$2K
SCOTUS upholds trans sports bans?
July 31, 2026
Yes$5K
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
March 31, 2026
5โ€“15%$1.2M
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
March 31, 2026
Yes$74K
Trump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?
March 31, 2026
Yes$0
New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?
February 28, 2026
Yes$200K
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs by...?
February 20, 2026
February 20$831K

About this page

Case outcomes, retirements and rulings priced by traders. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the odds on Supreme Court right now?
The most traded live market is "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?", where June 30, 2027 is priced at 17.5% as of November 6, 2026. 15 live markets mention Supreme Court.
How do I bet on Supreme Court?
These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.