Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Candidate A at 50.0%, ahead of Candidate B at 50.0%. $7K traded across 32 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
PolticsnominationSupreme Court
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Candidate A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate B | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate C | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate D | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate E | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate F | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate G | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate H | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate I | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate J | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate K | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate L | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate M | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate N | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate O | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate P | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate Q | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate R | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate S | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate T | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Gregory Katsas | 29.8% | -0.2 |
| Ted Cruz | 27.6% | +7.4 |
| James Ho | 25.0% | -4.5 |
| Aileen Cannon | 18.9% | -0.1 |
| Patrick Bumatay | 15.9% | +10.3 |
| Steven Menashi | 15.8% | +10.2 |
| Amul Thapar | 15.5% | 0.0 |
| Andrew Oldham | 8.0% | 0.0 |
| Neomi Rao | 8.0% | -0.5 |
| Mike Lee | 7.8% | +0.3 |
| John Sauer | 4.2% | +0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order. If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Candidate A is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by Candidate B at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 20, 2029. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $7K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $3K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.