Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs by...?: result and scorecard
Resolved February 20. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 5.5%; a week before, 25.5%. $831K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
TariffsTrade WarPoliticsCourtsSCOTUS
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| February 20 | WON |
| February 25 | WON |
| March 31 | WON |
| January 31 | LOST |
| January 14 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court issues an official ruling in the case Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc. by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official ruling on the case is defined as any decision on the merits of the case issued by the Supreme Court, including but not limited to a written opinion, summary disposition, or per curiam opinion. If the case is dismissed as improvidently granted, dismissed for mootness, vacated and remanded without a decision on the merits, withdrawn or settled, otherwise concluded without a final merits judgment, or there has been no qualifying ruling for this case by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs by...?" resolve?
- It resolved February 20 around February 20, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 5.5% one day before close, 25.5% one week before and 66.0% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $831K across 5 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.