SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 27.0%; a week before, 18.5%. $386K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
PoliticsSupreme Court CourtsElectionsWatson v. Republican National Committe
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in Watson v. Republican National Committee, rules that the federal election-day statutes preempt a state law that allows ballots cast by federal Election Day to be received and counted after election day, by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in this case. Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?" resolve?
- It resolved No around August 1, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 27.0% one day before close, 18.5% one week before and 25.0% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $386K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.