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Home / Markets / SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaught
Resolved market scorecard

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?: result and scorecard

Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.2%; a week before, 88.9%. $37K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Yes
resolved July 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.2%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

88.9%
30 days before: 70.0%

Volume

$37K
1 outcome

SCOTUSTrumpftcCourtsSupreme Court

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesWON$37K
NoLOST$37K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%01-2104-1107-01
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will. If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?" resolve?
It resolved Yes around December 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.2% one day before close, 88.9% one week before and 70.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$37K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.