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Home / Markets / Trump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?
Resolved market scorecard

Trump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?: result and scorecard

Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 96.4%; a week before, 99.3%. $0 traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Yes
resolved March 6, 2026

Price 1 day before

96.4%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.3%
30 days before: –

Volume

$0
1 outcome

lawsuitPoliticsTrumpSupreme Court Tariffs

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesWON$0
NoLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%02-2102-2703-06
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 96% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any lawsuit is initiated against Donald Trump in direct connection to Trump’s use of executive power to impose tariffs on foreign countries by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “In direct connection to his use of executive power to impose tariffs on foreign countries” refers to any lawsuit alleging executive overreach in Trump’s use of tariffs or which otherwise questions the authority or legality of Trump’s past use of tariffs. Lawsuits seeking damages for Trump’s imposition of tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) or otherwise seeking refunds for tariff fees paid under illegal tariff authority will count. Qualifying lawsuits filed against Donald Trump in his official capacity as President of the United States (e.g. lawsuits "v. the President of the United States”) or against the Trump Administration will count. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Trump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?" resolve?
It resolved Yes around March 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 96.4% one day before close, 99.3% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$0 across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.