What are the odds that UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 9.5% and No at 90.5%, on $337K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$337K in total and $6K in the last 24 hours, with about $48K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 3

Live market data

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?: live odds and probabilities

Name: UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 9.5% (0.0 pts in 24h). $337K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

9.5%

No 90.5% · Trade →

24h move

0.0

pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$337K

24h $6K · liquidity $48K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Politics Geopolitics Peace Deal Iran U.S. x Iran

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	9.5%	0.0	0.0	$337K	1.0¢
No	90.5%	0.0	0.0	$337K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 10% risks 10¢ to win 91¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 9.5% and No at 90.5%, on $337K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $337K in total and $6K in the last 24 hours, with about $48K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.