Live market data
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Microsoft at 63.5%, ahead of Company A at 50.0%. $156K traded across 30 outcomes.
Favorite
63.5%
Microsoft · Trade →
24h move
-12.0
pts · 7d -1.5
Volume
$156K
24h $7K · liquidity $173K
Closes
January 1, 2027
56 days left
TechEconomyFinanceBig TechBusiness
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Microsoft | 63.5% | -12.0 |
| Company A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company B | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company C | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company D | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company E | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company F | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company G | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company H | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company I | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company J | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company K | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company L | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company M | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company N | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company O | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company P | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company Q | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company R | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company S | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company T | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| NVIDIA | 18.2% | +14.2 |
| Alphabet | 13.0% | -4.0 |
| Apple | 2.9% | -0.9 |
| Amazon | 2.1% | -0.9 |
| SpaceX | 0.7% | +0.3 |
| Tesla | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Saudi Aramco | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Broadcom | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:30 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Price history
Microsoft
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
How to read this market
Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Microsoft at 64% risks 64¢ to win 37¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Microsoft is the favorite at 63.5%, followed by Company A at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $156K in total and $7K in the last 24 hours, with about $173K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.