Resolved market scorecard
What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in February 2026?: result and scorecard
Resolved ↓ $435. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 97.1%; a week before, 59.0%. $239K traded in total.
Result
↓ $435
resolved February 2, 2026
Price 1 day before
97.1%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
59.0%
30 days before: –
Volume
$239K
14 outcomes
TSLAEquitiesFinanceHide From NewStocks
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| ↓ $435 | WON |
| ↓ $420 | WON |
| ↓ $405 | WON |
| ↓ $383 | LOST |
| ↑ $503 | LOST |
| ↑ $533 | LOST |
| ↑ $450 | LOST |
| ↓ $293 | LOST |
| ↓ $360 | LOST |
| ↑ $480 | LOST |
| ↓ $330 | LOST |
| ↑ $465 | LOST |
| ↑ $600 | LOST |
| ↑ $563 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
↓ $435↓ $420↓ $405↓ $383
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 97% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in February 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- How did "What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in February 2026?" resolve?
- It resolved ↓ $435 around March 1, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 97.1% one day before close, 59.0% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $239K across 14 outcomes.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.