Live market data
Tariffs: live prediction market odds
Every active Polymarket market mentioning Tariffs, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.
Live markets
9
mentioning Tariffs
Total volume
$571K
across live markets
Most traded
3%
Yes in "Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?"
Live markets about Tariffs
| Market | Favorite | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026? closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 3.0% | -4.5 |
| Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? closes January 1, 2027 | Canada | 11.0% | -4.0 |
| Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? closes April 1, 2027 | Yes | 4.0% | -1.8 |
| US Trade Deficit in 2026? closes May 1, 2027 | 900B–1T | 39.0% | +2.5 |
| Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 88.8% | +2.3 |
| Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...? closes January 1, 2027 | October 31 | 79.3% | +9.2 |
| U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026? closes December 31, 2026 | 5–15% | 89.5% | 0.0 |
| Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31, 2026 | 3.3% | -0.2 |
| Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…? closes January 1, 2028 | December 31, 2027 | 58.0% | +5.5 |
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Recently resolved
| Market | Result |
|---|---|
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? June 30, 2026 | Yes |
| Will Trump visit China on...? May 31, 2026 | May 13 |
| Will Trump visit China by...? April 30, 2026 | May 15 |
| Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31? March 31, 2026 | No |
| U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31? March 31, 2026 | 5–15% |
| Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs by...? February 20, 2026 | February 20 |
| Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1? February 1, 2026 | No |
| Which countries will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for by Feb 1? February 1, 2026 | Closed |
| Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1? February 1, 2026 | No |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025? December 31, 2025 | No |
| Which countries will the U.S. agree to tariff agreements with by November 30? November 30, 2025 | China |
| 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1? November 1, 2025 | No |
About this page
Tariff announcements, rates and trade deals. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the odds on Tariffs right now?
- The most traded live market is "Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?", where Yes is priced at 3.0% as of November 6, 2026. 9 live markets mention Tariffs.
- How do I bet on Tariffs?
- These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.