Live market data
NATO: live prediction market odds
Every active Polymarket market mentioning NATO, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.
Live markets
16
mentioning NATO
Total volume
$23.1M
across live markets
Most traded
13%
December 31 in "NATO x Russia military clash by...?"
Live markets about NATO
| Market | Favorite | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by...? closes January 3, 2027 | December 31 | 12.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Russia invade another country by...? closes January 1, 2028 | December 31, 2027 | 19.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31, 2026 | 2.1% | -0.1 |
| What will Trump say at Cape Canaveral? closes November 6, 2026 | Space Force | 79.0% | 0.0 |
| NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027? closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 5.1% | +0.1 |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 5.0% | -0.1 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by...? closes January 1, 2028 | December 31, 2027 | 27.0% | -1.0 |
| Will any country leave NATO by...? closes January 1, 2028 | June 30, 2027 | 5.5% | 0.0 |
| Another NATO article 4 by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 14.0% | -1.5 |
| NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks? closes July 1, 2027 | Yes | 12.0% | -6.0 |
| Will NATO countries clash with each other by...? closes January 1, 2028 | December 31, 2027 | 16.5% | -0.5 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31, 2026 | 4.0% | +0.1 |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...? closes January 1, 2027 | December 31 | 4.5% | +0.1 |
| Russia military action against EU country by...? closes January 1, 2028 | December 31, 2027 | 20.5% | 0.0 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027? closes January 1, 2027 | Yes | 1.6% | -0.2 |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by...? closes December 1, 2026 | November 30 | 68.5% | -2.0 |
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Recently resolved
| Market | Result |
|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by...? January 1, 2027 | September 23 |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by...? October 31, 2026 | October 31 |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by...? September 30, 2026 | September 15 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31? September 1, 2026 | No |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by...? August 31, 2026 | August 31 |
| Who will attend the NATO Summit? July 8, 2026 | Marco Rubio |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? June 30, 2026 | No |
| What will NATO Secretary General say during meeting with Prime Minister of Czechia? April 16, 2026 | NATO 5+ times |
| What will Rutte say during speech on April 9? April 9, 2026 | Peace / War 3+ times |
| Russian strike on a NATO member by...? March 31, 2026 | Closed |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? March 31, 2026 | No |
| NATO Article 5 by March 31? March 31, 2026 | No |
About this page
Membership and spending markets. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the odds on NATO right now?
- The most traded live market is "NATO x Russia military clash by...?", where December 31 is priced at 12.5% as of November 6, 2026. 16 live markets mention NATO.
- How do I bet on NATO?
- These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.