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Resolved market scorecard

Who will attend the NATO Summit?: result and scorecard

Resolved Donald Trump. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 100.0%; a week before, 99.3%. $273K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Donald Trump
resolved July 9, 2026

Price 1 day before

100.0%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.3%
30 days before: 84.9%

Volume

$273K
3 outcomes

NATOPoliticsTrumpGeopoliticsIran

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Donald TrumpWON$201K
Marco RubioWON$51K
JD VanceLOST$21K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-0805-2407-09
Donald TrumpMarco RubioJD Vance
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Who will attend the NATO Summit?" resolve?
It resolved Donald Trump around July 8, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 100.0% one day before close, 99.3% one week before and 84.9% one month before.
How much was traded?
$273K across 3 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.