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Home / Markets / What will Rutte say during speech on April 9?
Resolved market scorecard

What will Rutte say during speech on April 9?: result and scorecard

Resolved Peace / War 3+ times. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at –; a week before, –. $49K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Peace / War 3+ times
resolved April 9, 2026

Price 1 day before

–
Unknown

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$49K
26 outcomes

NATOTrumpPoliticsMentions

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Peace / War 3+ timesWON$11K
NATO 3+ timesWON$3K
ThreatWON$3K
ChinaWON$2K
FreedomWON$2K
DroneWON$2K
The PresidentWON$2K
EuropeWON$2K
Trump 2+ timesWON$2K
Step UpWON$1K
AllianceWON$1K
PutinWON$1K
ArcticWON$1K
AmericaWON$1K
-No Qualifying Event-LOST$6K
Oil / EnergyLOST$2K
Ceasefire 3+ timesLOST$1K
ShadowLOST$797
FranceLOST$659
CouncilLOST$642
CyberLOST$609
ConflictLOST$520
AI / Artificial intelligenceLOST$383
LegalityLOST$370
LockLOST$355
Lethal / LethalityLOST$354

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-0904-0904-09
Threat
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at – the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Mark Rutte is scheduled to give a speech at 11AM ET on April 9, 2026 at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation Institute. (https://www.nato.int/en/news-and-events/events/media-advisories/2026/04/03/nato-secretary-general-to-visit-the-united-states-of-america). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Rutte says the listed term during the speech scheduled for April 9, 2026 at 11AM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Mark Rutte's remarks at the event scheduled for 11AM ET on April 9, 2026. (See: https://www.nato.int/en/news-and-events/events/media-advisories/2026/04/03/nato-secretary-general-to-visit-the-united-states-of-america). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will Rutte say during speech on April 9?" resolve?
It resolved Peace / War 3+ times around April 9, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at – one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$49K across 26 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.