What are the odds on Microsoft right now?

The most traded live market is "Largest Company end of December 2026?", where Apple is priced at 69.1% as of November 6, 2026. 40 live markets mention Microsoft.

How do I bet on Microsoft?

These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.

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Live market data

Microsoft: live prediction market odds

Every active Polymarket market mentioning Microsoft, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.

Updated 2026-11-06 01:43 UTC · Source: Polymarket search · 18+

Live markets

mentioning Microsoft

Total volume

$15.8M

across live markets

Most traded

69%

Apple in "Largest Company end of December 2026?"

Live markets about Microsoft

Market	Favorite	Price	24h	Volume
Largest Company end of December 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Apple	69.1%	+9.8	$9.8M
Largest Company end of November 2026? closes December 1, 2026	Apple	77.0%	+22.0	$83K
Which company has best AI model end of 2026? closes December 31, 2026	Google	60.5%	0.0	$4.0M
Which company has the best AI model end of November? closes December 1, 2026	Google	72.5%	+2.0	$810K
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Microsoft	63.5%	-7.5	$156K
3rd Largest Company end of November 2026? closes December 1, 2026	Microsoft	66.0%	-25.5	$21K
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026? closes January 1, 2027	NVIDIA	54.0%	0.0	$98K
2nd Largest Company end of November 2026? closes December 1, 2026	NVIDIA	64.5%	+7.0	$15K
Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on November 6? closes November 6, 2026	$540	26.0%	0.0	$3K
Which company has #1 AI model end of January? (Style Control On) closes February 1, 2027	Company A	50.0%	0.0	$19K
What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of November 2 2026? closes November 6, 2026	↓ $532.50	83.5%	+67.0	$21K
#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On) closes January 1, 2027	Company A	50.0%	0.0	$28K
What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in November 2026? closes December 1, 2026	↓ $525	87.5%	+44.0	$20K
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of November 2 above___? closes November 6, 2026	$500	96.8%	-1.7	$10K
Which company has the best AI Agent end of November? closes December 1, 2026	Anthropic	79.0%	+0.5	$37K
Which company has the best AI Agent end of January? closes February 1, 2027	Anthropic	59.0%	+6.5	$11K
#3 AI Lab end of January? (Style Control On) closes February 1, 2027	Company A	50.0%	0.0	$14K
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of January? closes February 1, 2027	Company A	50.0%	0.0	$10K
Third-best AI Lab end of December? closes January 1, 2027	Meta	50.0%	+15.0	$44K
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On) closes December 1, 2026	Meta	64.0%	+6.5	$52K
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November? closes December 1, 2026	Other	50.0%	0.0	$32K
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	Anthropic	50.0%	+4.5	$240K
Third-best AI Lab end of November? closes December 1, 2026	Meta	66.5%	+5.5	$45K
Microsoft (MSFT) closes week of Nov 2 at ___? closes November 6, 2026	$560-$570	42.4%	+15.8	$5K
#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On) closes January 1, 2027	Company A	50.0%	0.0	$34K
#2 AI Lab end of January? (Style Control On) closes February 1, 2027	Company A	50.0%	0.0	$14K
Second-best AI Lab end of December? closes January 1, 2027	Company A	50.0%	0.0	$33K
Which company has the best AI Agent end of December? closes January 1, 2027	Anthropic	69.0%	+2.0	$15K
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December? closes January 1, 2027	Company A	50.0%	0.0	$34K
Third-best AI Lab end of January? closes February 1, 2027	Company A	50.0%	0.0	$17K
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November? closes December 1, 2026	Other	50.0%	0.0	$36K
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on November 6? closes November 6, 2026	Down	60.5%	0.0	$242
Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	Anthropic	93.3%	-0.8	$68K
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31? closes January 5, 2027	Microsoft	81.0%	-5.0	$11K
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of November? closes November 30, 2026	$435	93.4%	+3.5	$2K
New MAI thinking model released by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	66.0%	-0.5	$1K
Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on September 3? closes September 3, 2026	$510	49.5%	0.0	$676
GitHub.com critical incident by...? closes November 14, 2026	November 13	74.0%	+24.0	$370
Longest GitHub critical incident in November 2026? closes December 1, 2026	1-3 hours	46.5%	+20.0	$0
Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026? closes December 31, 2026	<$2.50T	50.0%	0.0	$0

Recently resolved

Market	Result	Volume
GitHub.com critical incident by...? November 16, 2026	October 31	$5K
GitHub.com critical incident by...? November 16, 2026	October 31	$5K
Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on November 5? November 5, 2026	$510	$4K
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on November 5? November 5, 2026	Yes	$3K
Longest GitHub critical incident in October? November 1, 2026	3-6 hours	$40K
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...? November 1, 2026	October 31	$8K
GitHub.com critical incident by...? November 1, 2026	October 15	$4K
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...? November 1, 2026	Closed	$3K
GitHub.com critical incident by...? October 31, 2026	September 30	$1K
Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency)? October 28, 2026	48% to 50%	$15K
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above __? October 28, 2026	$44B	$8K
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Cloud revenue be above __? October 28, 2026	$61.5B	$4K

About this page

Market cap and OpenAI relationship markets. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the odds on Microsoft right now?: The most traded live market is "Largest Company end of December 2026?", where Apple is priced at 69.1% as of November 6, 2026. 40 live markets mention Microsoft.
How do I bet on Microsoft?: These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.