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Home / Markets / Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency)
Resolved market scorecard

Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency)?: result and scorecard

Resolved 48% to 50%. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 27.0%; a week before, 17.0%. $15K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

48% to 50%
resolved October 28, 2026

Price 1 day before

27.0%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

17.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$15K
5 outcomes

KPIsMSFTComputeFinancemicrosoft

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
48% to 50%WON$4K
46% to 48%LOST$4K
44% to 46%LOST$4K
50%+LOST$2K
<44%LOST$567

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-1410-2110-28
48% to 50%46% to 48%44% to 46%50%+
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 27% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to Microsoft's Azure revenue growth (constant currency) (year-over-year) for the upcoming first fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency)?" resolve?
It resolved 48% to 50% around October 28, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 27.0% one day before close, 17.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$15K across 5 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.