GitHub.com critical incident by...?: result and scorecard
Resolved October 31. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at –; a week before, –. $5K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
TechCodingGitHuboutageRecurring
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| October 31 | WON |
| November 15 | WON |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if GitHub.com experiences an incident with an impact classified as “critical” between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An incident will qualify if the official GitHub Status Page (githubstatus.com) or the official GitHub Status API (githubstatus.com/api) classifies the incident's impact as "critical," unless its affected components, once the incident is marked "Resolved," consist solely of Copilot and/or Copilot AI Model Providers. Incidents listing no affected components will qualify. GitHub classifies incident impact as None, Minor, Major, or Critical; only Critical will qualify. Component status labels (e.g. "Degraded Performance," "Partial Outage," or "Major Outage") will have no bearing on this market absent a qualifying critical incident. Revisions published after an incident is marked “Resolved” will not be considered. If an incident that began before 11:59 PM ET on the listed date remains unresolved at that time, this market will remain open and resolve at the earlier of: (i) when the incident is officially resolved, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) after the listed date, at which point the market will resolve based on the official information available at that time. Incidents whose affected components, once the incident is marked "Resolved," consist solely of Copilot and/or Copilot AI Model Providers will not qualify. Scheduled maintenance will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official GitHub system-status information published at https://www.githubstatus.com/, including the official GitHub Status API (https://www.githubstatus.com/api); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "GitHub.com critical incident by...?" resolve?
- It resolved October 31 around November 16, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at – one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $5K across 2 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.