Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Other at 50.0%, ahead of Company A at 50.0%. $36K traded across 33 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
AITechAI AgentAI RankingsRecurring
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company B | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company C | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company D | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company E | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company F | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company G | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company H | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company I | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company J | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company K | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company L | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Company M | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| 45.5% | +4.5 | |
| OpenAI | 35.5% | -2.5 |
| DeepSeek | 7.0% | +5.3 |
| Meta | 6.2% | -0.1 |
| SpaceXAI | 5.0% | 0.0 |
| Anthropic | 5.0% | +1.1 |
| Xiaomi | 4.1% | +1.6 |
| Moonshot | 4.0% | +0.1 |
| Tencent | 2.1% | 0.0 |
| Z.ai | 1.6% | 0.0 |
| Nvidia | 1.5% | +0.1 |
| Meituan | 1.2% | 0.0 |
| Alibaba | 1.1% | +0.2 |
| MiniMax | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Baidu | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| ByteDance | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Microsoft | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Amazon | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Mistral | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Other is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by Company A at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on December 1, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $36K in total and $112 in the last 24 hours, with about $51K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.