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Resolved market scorecard

TikTok banned in 2025?: result and scorecard

Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 82.0%; a week before, 69.0%. $241K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Yes
resolved January 19, 2025

Price 1 day before

82.0%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

69.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$241K
1 outcome

CultureinternetTechBusinessPolitics

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesWON$241K
NoLOST$241K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%12-3101-0901-19
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 82% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the TikTok app is banned for download and/or use by the majority of Americans in the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", a ban mandated by US federal law, policy, or the court system must have gone into effect (as defined above) within the above-stated timeframe. If TikTok is sold to another entity in such a way that it comes into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "TikTok banned in 2025?" resolve?
It resolved Yes around December 31, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 82.0% one day before close, 69.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$241K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.