Highest grossing movie in 2026?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 93.5%, ahead of Avengers: Doomsday at 7.1%. $18.0M traded across 14 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
Rewards 20, 4.5, 50The OdysseyCultureMoviesSpider-Man
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 93.5% | 0.0 |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 7.1% | +0.5 |
| Wicked: For Good | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Wuthering Heights | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Scream 7 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Michael | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Toy Story 5 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| The Odyssey | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Dune: Messiah | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Project Hail Mary | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Jumanji 3 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Highest grossing movie in 2026?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Spider-Man: Brand New Day is the favorite at 93.5%, followed by Avengers: Doomsday at 7.1%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 8, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $18.0M in total and $59K in the last 24 hours, with about $2.4M of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.