Live market data
Recession: live prediction market odds
Every active Polymarket market mentioning Recession, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.
Live markets
5
mentioning Recession
Total volume
$2.5M
across live markets
Most traded
5%
Yes in "US recession by end of 2026?"
Live markets about Recession
| Market | Favorite | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? closes December 31, 2026 | Yes | 4.5% | 0.0 |
| US recession by end of 2027? closes December 31, 2027 | Yes | 30.0% | +0.5 |
| Dem sweep & US recession by end of 2027? closes February 1, 2028 | Dem sweep; No recession | 61.6% | -3.4 |
| UK Recession in 2026? closes May 1, 2027 | Yes | 4.5% | 0.0 |
| Japan recession in 2026? closes May 1, 2027 | Yes | 12.0% | -0.5 |
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Recently resolved
| Market | Result |
|---|---|
| Canada recession before 2027? December 31, 2026 | Yes |
| What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference? October 28, 2026 | Inflation 20+ times |
| What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference? July 29, 2026 | Inflation 20+ times |
| What will Bank of America say during their next earnings call? July 14, 2026 | Invest / Investment 5+ times |
| What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference? June 18, 2026 | Rate / Cut |
| What will Trump say during Kevin Warsh's Swearing-In? May 22, 2026 | Inflation 5+ times |
| What will King Charles say during State Opening? May 13, 2026 | Government 3+ times |
| What will Powell say during March Press Conference? March 18, 2026 | Inflation 40+ times |
| US recession in 2025? February 28, 2026 | No |
| What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? February 28, 2026 | Disgraziad |
| What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (January 18) January 18, 2026 | Trump 3+ times |
| What will Wells Fargo say during their next earnings call? January 14, 2026 | Severance |
About this page
US recession odds by year. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the odds on Recession right now?
- The most traded live market is "US recession by end of 2026?", where Yes is priced at 4.5% as of November 6, 2026. 5 live markets mention Recession.
- How do I bet on Recession?
- These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.