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Home / Markets / What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?
Resolved market scorecard

What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?: result and scorecard

Resolved Good Day. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 93.0%; a week before, 94.0%. $45K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Good Day
resolved October 28, 2026

Price 1 day before

93.0%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

94.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$45K
20 outcomes

FedfomcTrumpWarshJerome

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Good DayWON$11K
SI / Super IntelligenceWON$9K
Oil / Gas / Gasoline / Natural GasWON$1K
Inflation 20+ timesWON$1K
PayrollWON$1K
CapEx / Capital ExpenditureWON$552
Good QuestionWON$511
Soft / SofteningWON$309
Good AfternoonLOST$6K
AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ timesLOST$6K
-No Qualifying Event-LOST$2K
Conflict / Middle EastLOST$2K
President / TrumpLOST$1K
Price 30+ timesLOST$1K
Pressure / StagflationLOST$723
Gold / Bitcoin / Crypto / CryptocurrencyLOST$575
OversightLOST$470
Unchanged / DissentLOST$456
SoftwareLOST$417
Pandemic / RecessionLOST$158

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-1510-2110-28
Good DaySI / Super IntelligenceOil / Gas / Gasoline / Natural GasInflation 20+ times
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 93% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on October 28, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?" resolve?
It resolved Good Day around October 28, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 93.0% one day before close, 94.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$45K across 20 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Fed Decision in December?How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Fed Decision in January?Fed Decision in March?How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)All live marketsMarkets resolving this weekPrediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.