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Resolved market scorecard

What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (January 18): result and scorecard

Resolved Trump 3+ times. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 77.3%; a week before, –. $79K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Trump 3+ times
resolved January 13, 2026

Price 1 day before

77.3%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$79K
18 outcomes

MentionsYouTubeCulture

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Trump 3+ timesWON$11K
ConspiracyWON$7K
AlienWON$5K
VenezuelaWON$2K
Elon / MuskWON$2K
MaduroWON$2K
OilWON$1K
DrugWON$1K
InflationWON$1K
DietLOST$15K
ElkLOST$11K
SaunaLOST$7K
EpsteinLOST$3K
Jamie 5+ timesLOST$3K
SpaceLOST$2K
WokeLOST$2K
WeedLOST$1K
RecessionLOST$1K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%01-0901-1101-13
Trump 3+ timesConspiracyAlienVenezuela
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 77% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

The Joe Rogan Experience podcast releases episodes on https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the first released episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast between January 12, 2026 and January 18, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast is aired by January 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". JRE MMA Show episodes will not count for this market, only Joe Rogan Experience episodes. The resolution source will be the released episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan).

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (January 18)" resolve?
It resolved Trump 3+ times around January 18, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 77.3% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$79K across 18 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.