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Home / Markets / What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?
Resolved market scorecard

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?: result and scorecard

Resolved Chair. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 76.5%; a week before, 81.0%. $178K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Chair
resolved June 17, 2026

Price 1 day before

76.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

81.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$178K
31 outcomes

FedfomcTrumpWarshJerome

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
ChairWON$4K
FEDWON$3K
Artificial Intelligence / AIWON$3K
Balance SheetWON$2K
Rate / CutWON$2K
TrendWON$2K
Maximum EmploymentWON$2K
Stable / StabilityWON$2K
MoneyWON$2K
Dual MandateWON$1K
Open-MindedWON$1K
TrumpLOST$74K
Good AfternoonLOST$29K
I Don't KnowLOST$7K
Crypto / BitcoinLOST$6K
Jerome / PowellLOST$5K
Job MarketLOST$5K
AsymmetricLOST$4K
Goods InflationLOST$3K
Depression / RecessionLOST$3K
Groupthink / Group ThinkLOST$2K
DownsideLOST$2K
Inflation 40+ timesLOST$2K
All-Time High / All-Time LowLOST$2K
Inflation 60+ timesLOST$2K
PandemicLOST$1K
StockLOST$1K
Job 15+ timesLOST$1K
PredecessorLOST$1K
Inflation 50+ timesLOST$1K
IndependenceLOST$1K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%06-0906-1306-17
ChairFEDArtificial Intelligence / AIBalance Sheet
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 77% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?" resolve?
It resolved Chair around June 18, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 76.5% one day before close, 81.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$178K across 31 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.