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Home / Markets / What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Resolved market scorecard

What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?: result and scorecard

Resolved Good day. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 76.5%; a week before, 71.0%. $311K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Good day
resolved July 29, 2026

Price 1 day before

76.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

71.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$311K
37 outcomes

FedfomcTrumpWarshJerome

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Good dayWON$33K
AI / Artificial IntelligenceWON$23K
ProductivityWON$16K
Inflation 20+ timesWON$14K
Bet / BettingWON$14K
Balance SheetWON$8K
RestrictiveWON$7K
ProgressWON$6K
ShockWON$5K
PandemicWON$4K
PredecessorWON$4K
Central BankWON$4K
UncertaintyWON$3K
DollarWON$3K
North StarWON$2K
Good AfternoonLOST$23K
DissentLOST$20K
TrumpLOST$16K
-No Qualifying Event-LOST$14K
ProjectionLOST$11K
Inflation 40+ timesLOST$9K
Task Force 20+ timesLOST$8K
InnovationLOST$7K
Consumer ConfidenceLOST$6K
IranLOST$6K
PresidentLOST$6K
SpendingLOST$6K
Crypto / CryptocurrencyLOST$5K
RecessionLOST$5K
IndependenceLOST$4K
OilLOST$4K
TaxLOST$4K
RenovationLOST$4K
Anchor / AnchoredLOST$3K
Echo of HistoryLOST$2K
Groupthink / Group thinkLOST$2K
HoldingLOST$610

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%07-2107-2507-29
Good dayAI / Artificial IntelligenceProductivityInflation 20+ times
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 77% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?" resolve?
It resolved Good day around July 29, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 76.5% one day before close, 71.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$311K across 37 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.