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Home / Markets / What will King Charles say during State Opening?
Resolved market scorecard

What will King Charles say during State Opening?: result and scorecard

Resolved Common / Commons. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at –; a week before, –. $17K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Common / Commons
resolved May 13, 2026

Price 1 day before

–
Unknown

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$17K
25 outcomes

PoliticsMentionsUKStarmerking

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Common / CommonsWON$2K
Government 3+ timesWON$647
House / HousingWON$540
SecurityWON$446
UkraineWON$434
EducationWON$376
HealthWON$369
DefenseWON$309
EconomyWON$232
Parliament 3+ timesLOST$3K
StarmerLOST$2K
TrumpLOST$1K
-No Qualifying Event-LOST$1K
MotherLOST$1K
HealthcareLOST$895
RecessionLOST$268
FranklyLOST$253
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLOST$238
GasLOST$212
BrexitLOST$211
FailureLOST$152
Six SevenLOST$127
ControversialLOST$117
WarLOST$110
DefeatLOST$93

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%05-1305-1305-13
Common / CommonsGovernment 3+ timesHouse / HousingSecurity
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at – the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

King Charles is scheduled to participate in the State Opening of Parliament on May 13, 2026 (https://www.parliament.uk/about/how/occasions/stateopening/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if King Charles says the listed term during the State Opening of Parliament scheduled for May 13, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where King Charles is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the State Opening of Parliament scheduled for May 13, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will King Charles say during State Opening?" resolve?
It resolved Common / Commons around May 13, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at – one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$17K across 25 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.