What will King Charles say during State Opening?: result and scorecard
Resolved Common / Commons. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at –; a week before, –. $17K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Common / Commons | WON |
| Government 3+ times | WON |
| House / Housing | WON |
| Security | WON |
| Ukraine | WON |
| Education | WON |
| Health | WON |
| Defense | WON |
| Economy | WON |
| Parliament 3+ times | LOST |
| Starmer | LOST |
| Trump | LOST |
| -No Qualifying Event- | LOST |
| Mother | LOST |
| Healthcare | LOST |
| Recession | LOST |
| Frankly | LOST |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | LOST |
| Gas | LOST |
| Brexit | LOST |
| Failure | LOST |
| Six Seven | LOST |
| Controversial | LOST |
| War | LOST |
| Defeat | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
King Charles is scheduled to participate in the State Opening of Parliament on May 13, 2026 (https://www.parliament.uk/about/how/occasions/stateopening/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if King Charles says the listed term during the State Opening of Parliament scheduled for May 13, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where King Charles is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the State Opening of Parliament scheduled for May 13, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "What will King Charles say during State Opening?" resolve?
- It resolved Common / Commons around May 13, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at – one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $17K across 25 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.