What will Trump say during Kevin Warsh's Swearing-In?: result and scorecard
Resolved Job. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 83.5%; a week before, –. $46K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
TrumpPoliticsFed ChairMentions
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Job | WON |
| Inflation 5+ times | WON |
| Budget | WON |
| Booming | WON |
| Iran | WON |
| Biden | WON |
| -No Qualifying Event- | LOST |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | LOST |
| Jerome / Powell | LOST |
| Oil | LOST |
| War | LOST |
| Too late | LOST |
| Unemployment 5+ times | LOST |
| Tariff 5+ times | LOST |
| Dumb | LOST |
| Cut rate | LOST |
| All time high | LOST |
| Renovation | LOST |
| Recession | LOST |
| Good afternoon | LOST |
| Ballroom / Pool | LOST |
| Gold | LOST |
| Six Seven | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
Donald Trump is scheduled to attend Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026 (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/18/kevin-warsh-trump-federal-reserve-chair.html). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony scheduled for May 22, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "What will Trump say during Kevin Warsh's Swearing-In?" resolve?
- It resolved Job around May 22, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 83.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $46K across 23 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.