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Government shutdown: live prediction market odds

Every active Polymarket market mentioning Government shutdown, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.

Updated 2026-11-06 01:43 UTC · Source: Polymarket search · 18+

Live markets

2
mentioning Government shutdown

Total volume

$42K
across live markets

Most traded

36%
1 in "How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?"

Live markets about Government shutdown

MarketFavoritePrice24hVolume
How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?
closes January 1, 2028
135.5% -17.0$16K
Government shutdown by...?
closes January 1, 2027
December 3131.5% -9.0$26K
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Recently resolved

MarketResultVolume
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
February 1, 2027
Shutdown & Democratic Part$387K
Government shutdown by October 1?
October 2, 2026
No$17K
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?
October 2, 2026
No$4K
How long will the Government Shutdown last?
March 31, 2026
1+ day$23.5M
Senate Democratic votes for government funding bill?
March 31, 2026
>10$102K
How long will the Government Shutdown last?
March 14, 2026
Closed$2.2M
Government shutdown on Saturday?
February 14, 2026
No$13.6M
US government shutdown Saturday?
January 31, 2026
Yes$157.3M
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
January 31, 2026
Yes$1.8M
When will Congress pass the next funding bill?
January 31, 2026
No Bill passed by Jan 31$627K
US government shutdown in 2025?
December 31, 2025
Yes$3.5M
Will the Government shutdown end by...?
December 31, 2025
November 15$12.6M

About this page

Will the government shut down, and for how long. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.

More in US politics

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds on Government shutdown right now?
The most traded live market is "How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?", where 1 is priced at 35.5% as of November 6, 2026. 2 live markets mention Government shutdown.
How do I bet on Government shutdown?
These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.