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Resolved market scorecard

Senate Democratic votes for government funding bill?: result and scorecard

Resolved >10. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 22.0%; a week before, –. $102K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

>10
resolved January 31, 2026

Price 1 day before

22.0%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$102K
8 outcomes

PoliticsCongressGov Shutdownfunding bill

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
>10WON$35K
9LOST$13K
<5LOST$13K
10LOST$12K
6LOST$11K
5LOST$7K
7LOST$6K
8LOST$5K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%01-2901-3001-31
>109<510
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 22% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. Senate Democrats who vote in favor of passing the next government funding bill (e.g., a Continuing Resolution or omnibus spending bill) the first time it comes up for a vote in the U.S. Senate. For the purpose of this market, independent senators will be counted toward the party with which they caucus. If no vote takes place on the next government funding bill by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based solely on the first vote on passage of the next government funding bill, regardless of whether it passes. If a continuing resolution (CR) passes by unanimous consent, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Senate Democratic votes for government funding bill?" resolve?
It resolved >10 around March 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 22.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$102K across 8 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.