What are the odds that Greenland snap election called by December 31?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 5.1% and No at 94.9%, on $29K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$29K in total and $332 in the last 24 hours, with about $32K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Greenland snap election called by December 31?

Live market data

Greenland snap election called by December 31?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Greenland snap election called by December 31? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 5.1% (+2.3 pts in 24h). $29K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

5.1%

No 94.9% · Trade →

24h move

+2.3

pts · 7d +0.8

Volume

$29K

24h $332 · liquidity $32K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Politics Elections Greenland Geopolitics World Elections

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	5.1%	+2.3	+0.8	$29K	2.2¢
No	94.9%	-2.3	-0.8	$29K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 5% risks 5¢ to win 95¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Greenland snap election called by December 31?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 5.1% and No at 94.9%, on $29K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $29K in total and $332 in the last 24 hours, with about $32K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Presidential Election Winner 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Alaska Senate Election Winner Next French Presidential Election Mississippi Senate Election Winner All live markets Markets resolving this week Prediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.