How did "Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?" resolve?

It resolved No around March 31, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.9% one day before close, 98.5% one week before and 95.5% one month before.

Home / Markets / Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?

Resolved market scorecard

Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?: result and scorecard

Name: Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.9%; a week before, 98.5%. $72K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

resolved April 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.9%

Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

98.5%

30 days before: 95.5%

Volume

$72K

1 outcome

Politics Grammys Trump Culture Courts

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Yes	LOST	$72K
No	WON	$72K

Price history to resolution

Yes

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump initiates a lawsuit against Trevor Noah by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?" resolve?: It resolved No around March 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.9% one day before close, 98.5% one week before and 95.5% one month before.
How much was traded?: $72K across 1 outcome.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.