Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 91.5%; a week before, –. $82K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump officially announces that a deal for the sale or restructuring of TikTok’s U.S. operations has been finalized by Thursday, October 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official policy or transaction announcements will qualify. Informal statements, expressions of intent, ongoing negotiations, or reports of progress without a formal announcement of a completed deal will not be considered. Statements such as US treasury secretary Scott Bessent's October 26 claims that “We reached [a deal] in Madrid, and I believe that as of today, all the details are ironed out, and that will be for the two leaders to consummate that transaction” do not constitute an official policy announcement and will not qualify. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?" resolve?
- It resolved No around October 30, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 91.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $82K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.