What are the odds that Will the next elected US president be a woman?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 25.5% and No at 74.5%, on $17K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on November 8, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$17K in total and $77 in the last 24 hours, with about $12K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Live market data

Will the next elected US president be a woman?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Will the next elected US president be a woman? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 25.5% (-1.5 pts in 24h). $17K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

25.5%

No 74.5% · Trade →

24h move

-1.5

pts · 7d -12.5

Volume

$17K

24h $77 · liquidity $12K

Closes

November 8, 2028

733 days left

Politics Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez aoc Elections Kamala

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	25.5%	-1.5	-12.5	$17K	3.0¢
No	74.5%	+1.5	+12.5	$17K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 26% risks 26¢ to win 75¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Will the next elected US president be a woman?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 25.5% and No at 74.5%, on $17K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on November 8, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $17K in total and $77 in the last 24 hours, with about $12K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.