Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.5%; a week before, 98.6%. $55K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
PoliticsGeopoliticsTurkeyMiddle EastWorld
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any law is singed into effect that repeals, alters, or extends presidential term limits in a way that would allow Recep Tayyip Erdoğan to serve more than two terms, or if Turkey’s Constitutional Court or another court with binding authority issues a ruling that permits a president to serve more than two terms, by July 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM local time in Turkey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?" resolve?
- It resolved No around July 31, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.5% one day before close, 98.6% one week before and 96.6% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $55K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.