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Home / Markets / Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?
Resolved market scorecard

Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?: result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.5%; a week before, 98.6%. $55K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved August 1, 2025

Price 1 day before

99.5%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

98.6%
30 days before: 96.6%

Volume

$55K
1 outcome

PoliticsGeopoliticsTurkeyMiddle EastWorld

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$55K
NoWON$55K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%03-2205-2708-01
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any law is singed into effect that repeals, alters, or extends presidential term limits in a way that would allow Recep Tayyip Erdoğan to serve more than two terms, or if Turkey’s Constitutional Court or another court with binding authority issues a ruling that permits a president to serve more than two terms, by July 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM local time in Turkey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?" resolve?
It resolved No around July 31, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.5% one day before close, 98.6% one week before and 96.6% one month before.
How much was traded?
$55K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.