Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 83.0%; a week before, 81.5%. $1.4M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
PoliticsGlobal ElectionsElectionsGerman ElectionsGermany
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?" resolve?
- It resolved No around September 6, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 83.0% one day before close, 81.5% one week before and 75.5% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $1.4M across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.