Resolved market scorecard
Who will Trump talk to in October?: result and scorecard
Resolved Xi Jinping. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.4%; a week before, 74.0%. $390K traded in total.
Result
Xi Jinping
resolved October 30, 2025
Price 1 day before
98.4%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
74.0%
30 days before: –
Volume
$390K
20 outcomes
PoliticsTrumpUS PoliticsGeopoliticsTrump Presidency
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Xi Jinping | WON |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | WON |
| Vladimir Putin | WON |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | WON |
| Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman | WON |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | WON |
| Narendra Modi | WON |
| Emmanuel Macron | WON |
| Keir Starmer | WON |
| Friedrich Merz | WON |
| Recep Tayyip Erdoğan | WON |
| AOC | LOST |
| Jerome Powell | LOST |
| Ahmed Al Shara | LOST |
| Yoon Suk Yeol | LOST |
| Elon Musk | LOST |
| Kim Jong Un | LOST |
| Jair Bolsonaro | LOST |
| Nicolás Maduro | LOST |
| Ursula von der Leyen | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Xi JinpingLuiz Inácio Lula da SilvaVladimir PutinVolodymyr Zelenskyy
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 98% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between October 6 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Who will Trump talk to in October?" resolve?
- It resolved Xi Jinping around October 31, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.4% one day before close, 74.0% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $390K across 20 outcomes.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.