Resolved market scorecard
Who will attend Zohran Mamdani's swearing-in ceremony?: result and scorecard
Resolved Bernie Sanders. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 95.2%; a week before, –. $61K traded in total.
Result
Bernie Sanders
resolved January 1, 2026
Price 1 day before
95.2%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
–
30 days before: –
Volume
$61K
16 outcomes
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Bernie Sanders | WON |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | WON |
| Letitia James | WON |
| Kathy Hochul | WON |
| Bill de Blasio | WON |
| Chuck Schumer | WON |
| Lina Khan | WON |
| Eric Adams | WON |
| Brad Lander | WON |
| Donald Trump | LOST |
| Barack Obama | LOST |
| Hasan Piker | LOST |
| Kirsten Gillibrand | LOST |
| Hakeem Jeffries | LOST |
| Michael Bloomberg | LOST |
| Bill Ackman | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Bernie SandersAlexandria Ocasio-CortezLetitia JamesKathy Hochul
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 95% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends Zohran Mamdani's swearing-in ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the ceremony is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
- How did " Who will attend Zohran Mamdani's swearing-in ceremony?" resolve?
- It resolved Bernie Sanders around January 1, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 95.2% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $61K across 16 outcomes.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.