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Home / Markets / Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary El
Resolved market scorecard

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?: result and scorecard

Resolved United Russia (ER). One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 81.5%; a week before, 79.5%. $52.1M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

United Russia (ER)
resolved September 21, 2026

Price 1 day before

81.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

79.5%
30 days before: 69.5%

Volume

$52.1M
34 outcomes

PoliticsInternational Election PropsRussia ElectionWorld ElectionsElections

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
United Russia (ER)WON$24.5M
New People (NL)LOST$6.1M
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)LOST$5.6M
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)LOST$4.0M
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)LOST$3.9M
YablokoLOST$3.4M
RodinaLOST$3.2M
Civic Platform (GP)LOST$1.4M
OtherOPEN$0
Party BOPEN$0
Party COPEN$0
Party DOPEN$0
Party EOPEN$0
Party FOPEN$0
Party GOPEN$0
Party HOPEN$0
Party IOPEN$0
Party JOPEN$0
Party KOPEN$0
Party LOPEN$0
Party MOPEN$0
Party NOPEN$0
Party OOPEN$0
Party POPEN$0
Party QOPEN$0
Party ROPEN$0
Party SOPEN$0
Party TOPEN$0
Party UOPEN$0
Party VOPEN$0
Party WOPEN$0
Party XOPEN$0
Party YOPEN$0
Party ZOPEN$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%01-0805-1609-21
United Russia (ER)New People (NL)Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 82% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?" resolve?
It resolved United Russia (ER) around September 20, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 81.5% one day before close, 79.5% one week before and 69.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$52.1M across 34 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.