How did "Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?" resolve?

It resolved No around December 31, 2025.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.8% one day before close, 99.6% one week before and 91.5% one month before.

Home / Markets / Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?

Resolved market scorecard

Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?: result and scorecard

Name: Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.8%; a week before, 99.6%. $586K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

resolved January 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.8%

Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.6%

30 days before: 91.5%

Volume

$586K

1 outcome

Politics Russia Geopolitics Ukraine putin

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Yes	LOST	$586K
No	WON	$586K

Price history to resolution

Yes

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in Hungary at any time by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A meeting is defined as any encounter where Trump and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?" resolve?: It resolved No around December 31, 2025.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.8% one day before close, 99.6% one week before and 91.5% one month before.
How much was traded?: $586K across 1 outcome.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.