Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?: result and scorecard
Resolved May 31. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 24.5%; a week before, 39.5%. $44.7M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
PoliticsMiddle EastGeopoliticsTrumpIran
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| May 31 | WON |
| June 30 | WON |
| April 30 | LOST |
| April 15 | LOST |
| March 31 | LOST |
| April 21 | LOST |
| April 7 | LOST |
| April 24 | LOST |
| March 2 | LOST |
| March 1 | LOST |
| March 7 | LOST |
| March 15 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?" resolve?
- It resolved May 31 around June 30, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 24.5% one day before close, 39.5% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $44.7M across 12 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.