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Home / Markets / Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Resolved market scorecard

Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?: result and scorecard

Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 63.0%; a week before, –. $218K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Yes
resolved April 27, 2026

Price 1 day before

63.0%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$218K
1 outcome

PoliticsGeopoliticsRussiaputinIran

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesWON$218K
NoLOST$218K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-2504-2604-27
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 63% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?" resolve?
It resolved Yes around May 15, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 63.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$218K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.