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Next Prime Minister of Sweden: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Magdalena Andersson at 71.5%, ahead of Ulf Kristersson at 27.5%. $10.9M traded across 10 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

71.5%
Magdalena Andersson · Trade →

24h move

+3.0
pts · 7d -1.5

Volume

$10.9M
24h $42K · liquidity $1.1M

Closes

July 1, 2027
237 days left

ElectionsWorldWorld ElectionsGlobal ElectionsSweden

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Magdalena Andersson71.5% +3.0-1.5$2.9M1.0¢
Ulf Kristersson27.5% -0.4+5.4$2.2M0.3¢
Ebba Busch1.9% -0.8-1.1$965K0.1¢
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist0.1% -0.1-1.1$678K0.1¢
Jimmie Åkesson0.1% 0.0-0.1$1.9M0.1¢
Anna-Karin Hatt0.1% 0.00.0$312K0.1¢
Nooshi Dadgostar0.1% 0.00.0$1.0M0.1¢
Simona Mohamsson0.1% 0.0-0.1$377K0.1¢
Amanda Lind0.1% 0.00.0$136K0.1¢
Daniel Helldén0.1% 0.00.0$339K0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%01-2006-1411-06
Magdalena AnderssonUlf KristerssonEbba BuschElisabeth Thand Ringqvist

Market rules and resolution

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Magdalena Andersson at 72% risks 72¢ to win 29¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Next Prime Minister of Sweden"?
As of November 6, 2026, Magdalena Andersson is the favorite at 71.5%, followed by Ulf Kristersson at 27.5%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on July 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$10.9M in total and $42K in the last 24 hours, with about $1.1M of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.