Netherlands Parliamentary Election: result and scorecard
Resolved D66. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.4%; a week before, 7.5%. $32.8M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
ElectionsGlobal ElectionsdutchNetherlandsDutch Election
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| D66 | WON |
| PVV | LOST |
| VVD | LOST |
| CDA | LOST |
| BBB | LOST |
| FvD | LOST |
| GL/PvdA | LOST |
| JA21 | LOST |
| SP | LOST |
| NSC | LOST |
| CU | LOST |
| PvdD | LOST |
| Volt | LOST |
| Denk | LOST |
| SGP | LOST |
| Party A | LOST |
| Party B | LOST |
| Party C | LOST |
| Party D | LOST |
| Party E | LOST |
| Party F | LOST |
| Party G | LOST |
| Party H | LOST |
| Party I | LOST |
| Party J | LOST |
| Other | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election. If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Netherlands Parliamentary Election" resolve?
- It resolved D66 around July 31, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.4% one day before close, 7.5% one week before and 0.8% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $32.8M across 26 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.