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Resolved market scorecard

Netherlands Parliamentary Election: result and scorecard

Resolved D66. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.4%; a week before, 7.5%. $32.8M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

D66
resolved November 2, 2025

Price 1 day before

99.4%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

7.5%
30 days before: 0.8%

Volume

$32.8M
26 outcomes

ElectionsGlobal ElectionsdutchNetherlandsDutch Election

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
D66WON$6.0M
PVVLOST$10.1M
VVDLOST$2.8M
CDALOST$2.0M
BBBLOST$1.9M
FvDLOST$1.9M
GL/PvdALOST$1.7M
JA21LOST$1.7M
SPLOST$1.3M
NSCLOST$888K
CULOST$666K
PvdDLOST$646K
VoltLOST$570K
DenkLOST$329K
SGPLOST$256K
Party ALOST$0
Party BLOST$0
Party CLOST$0
Party DLOST$0
Party ELOST$0
Party FLOST$0
Party GLOST$0
Party HLOST$0
Party ILOST$0
Party JLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%06-0408-1811-02
D66PVVVVDCDA
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election. If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).

Frequently asked questions

How did "Netherlands Parliamentary Election" resolve?
It resolved D66 around July 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.4% one day before close, 7.5% one week before and 0.8% one month before.
How much was traded?
$32.8M across 26 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.