Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Zoran Janković at 63.0%, ahead of Person D at 50.0%. $238K traded across 35 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
PoliticsSloveniaElectionsMain ElectionWorld Elections
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Zoran Janković | 63.0% | -4.5 |
| Person D | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person E | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person F | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person G | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person H | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person I | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person J | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person K | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person L | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person M | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person N | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person O | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person P | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person Q | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person R | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person S | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person T | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person U | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person V | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person W | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person X | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person Y | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person Z | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Luka Mesec | 32.5% | +2.0 |
| Aleksandar Repić | 1.3% | -0.1 |
| Anton Rop | 0.9% | -0.1 |
| Klemen Boštjančič | 0.7% | -0.1 |
| Aleš Primc | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Aleš Vrhovec | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Gregor Novak | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Jasmin Feratović | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Mihael Jarc | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Apolonija Simon | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
The next Ljubljana mayoral election is scheduled to be held on November 15, 2026, to elect the mayor of the City Municipality of Ljubljana, Slovenia (župan Mestne občine Ljubljana). If no candidate wins a majority of valid votes in the first round, a runoff between the two leading candidates is scheduled for November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ljubljana as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Municipal Election Commission of the City Municipality of Ljubljana (Občinska volilna komisija Mestne občine Ljubljana) and published by the State Election Commission (Državna volilna komisija, DVK) (https://www.dvk-rs.si/).
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Zoran Janković is the favorite at 63.0%, followed by Person D at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 16, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $238K in total and $6K in the last 24 hours, with about $283K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.